February 9, 2012

10 Mistakes Home Buyers Make with Simi Valley Short Sales

Simi Valley real estate and homes for saleSimi Valley Short Sales have been a big part of my business for the last couple of years.  These transactions are very complex and not every real estate agent is equipped to handle these transactions.  It is easy to get a seller to agree to list their home, but working with the Seller’s bank to get short sale approval is another story.  Many of the licensed agents that take short sales listings have no business doing so.  It is easy to attend a seminar and get a certification, but each and every short sale I have worked on is different with it’s own set of circumstances,  nothing can be substituted for hands on experience.

Understand that the representative at the bank has a typical work load of over 100 properties on their desk in various stages of the approval process.  My job is to keep my client’s file at the top of that stack and any time the bank representative throws a condition at us, we need to answer quickly and be able to state a case in support of my Seller.

A big part of my success is using a 3rd party negotiator on my team.  My negotiator is Real Estate Attorney and Licensed Broker, while he is acting only as a negotiator, the years of experience between the two of us has proven to a 100% track record in getting approvals.  We have completed traditional Short Sales and Short Sales under the HAFA program.

Your biggest obstacles as a buyer in a Short Sale are mostly going to be related to having unrealistic expectations.  Some will be generated on your own and the rest will be generated by the real estate agent representing you.

#1. Not understanding Market Value – You will write a Low Ball offer for several unsound reasons

  • First unsound reason – The bank already has written this property off at a loss, if they don’t take my offer they will lose even more money down the road.
  • Second unsound reason – They are getting more from me now then they will if they foreclose.
  • Third unsound reason – By the time I fix up the house after I buy it, I will have $50,000 into it, so my offer needs to be $50,000 below asking.

The bank has send appraisers out and paid other real estate agents for market opinions.  The Seller’s lender has a very good idea what the surrounding homes have sold for.  Additionally, I will price my Short Sale Listings at Market value and this is one of the direct reasons why my Short Sale Listings not only get approved, but they also close escrow successfully.   Typically the Seller’s Lender will come back and ask the buyer to come up with additional money if the Seller’s Lender thinks the offer is low compared to the market value.

#2.  Asking for Repairs – You or your agent will think that you can ask repairs after an inspection.  The seller is in a Short Sale because they are broke and out of money. They probably barely have enough money for a deposit on a rental when escrow closes and if your agent puts in your head that you can ask for repairs, you might want to look for a new agent before looking at other homes. Short Sale Lenders do not care that the water heater relief line does not exit to the outside of the home, they don’t care that the screens are broken or that the pool is green.  No they don’t care that the GFI’s are missing in the bathrooms. The Short Sale Lender has a bottom line number in their approval and if the buyer cant work with that number, then the approval will not be issued. The bank’s bottom line number and your low ball offer will not be compatible.  Seller is broke so that means you the buyer gets to pay for the repairs.

#3. Ask for Termite – Your agent tells you to ask for termite inspection and repair.  Once you put it in the contract now your lender is going to require the work be done, but remember the Seller’s bank isn’t going to pay for it and the Seller is broke so the only person left to pay, is you the buyer.

#4. Ask for Home Warranty – Once again the Seller’s bank isn’t going to pay for it and the Seller is broke so the only person left to pay, is you the buyer.

#5. FHA & VA financing - Try a Short Sale at your own risk, because FHA and VA will inspect the house and come up with a list of Lender required repairs.  See #2 and remember the Seller’s bank isn’t going to pay for it and the Seller is broke so the only person left to pay, is you the buyer. FHA & VA buyers have bought Short Sale properties, they just had to come out of pocket for Lender required conditions and repairs.

#6. Closing costs – Your Lender or Real Estate Agent told you to ask for $10,000 in closing costs. The Seller’s bank isn’t going to pay for your closing costs and the Seller is broke so, the only person left to pay for your closing costs is you the buyer.

#7. Unrealistic about time frames – Short Sales take a long time.  I have obtained approvals in as short as 3 weeks to 6 weeks, but the majority of the approvals are taking 90 to 120 days.  If you don’t know how to sit and wait for a long time with little information on the status, then you should not be writing offers of Short Sale properties.

#8. You have a home to sell – While I might be the only listing agent in Simi Valley to complete a Short Sale with a buyer who was selling their home and needed the proceeds from that sale to complete the purchase of my Short Sale;  I have not had any other bank agree to this.  The timing on these short sale approvals is so drawn out and consuming, it is very difficult to hold all the buyers together and wait for approval.  The representative for the Seller’s Lender know this and they do not approve offers that are contingent on the Buyer selling their property first.

#9. Attempt to flip or the old Double Escrow – You want to negotiate with the Seller’s Lender so you can turn around and find another buyer and make a quick profit.  My seller has no motivation or obligation to help you make a fast profit off their loss.  Keep in mind that the Seller’s Lender may have deficiency rights against may seller, so my seller would be crazy to take on larger future tax and deficiency obligations for your investment plans.  I wrote “Beware of Short Sale Flipping” which explains this better, but it can be illegal and FBI has been going after investors that are concealing their profit schemes from Short Sale Lenders.

#10. Not understanding THE SELLER IS BROKE and THE SELLER’S LENDER IS NOT GOING TO AGREE TO PAY FOR THINGS YOU DEMAND.  You should realize by now that there could be as much as $1,000 or even $2,500 of issues on a Short Sale property and if you are not prepared (as a buyer) to deal with those issues, you probably should not be writing offers on Simi Valley Short Sale properties.

The Seller’s Lender has a sale price they are willing to accept for the property that is going to be very close to market value.  The Seller’s Lender will try to get the buyer to pay over market value.  The Seller’s lender is going to try every possible thing they can to to minimize the the costs to sell the property which is why buyer demands are not the concern of the Short Sale Lender.

To understand the short sale process better please read

Second straight month Simi Valley Home Sales drop – Inventory edging up

Simi Valley Home Sales Mixed Signals

Second straight month Simi Valley Home Sales drop – Inventory edging up

The Simi Valley Real Estate market may have more personalities than Sybil. December saw the highest closed sales for single family detached homes in Simi Valley for 2009 with 98 closings.  I believe that year end accounting for many of the corporate sellers influenced the uncharacteristic high volume for December. January followed with 74 closings and now February with 59.

I have been pretty emphatic that this will be a bumpy recovery so let’s look at the mixed signals.

This information is for single family detached homes in Simi Valley only.  The reason why I leave out the condos and town homes is that HOA dues coupled with requirements for FHA and VA financing have influence on those sales that we do not see on Single Family detached homes.  Also, single family detached homes are affordable which is redirecting demand away from the townhome/condo market.

  1. 2009 Monthly volume slightly picked up to an average or 80 closings per month over 2008′s 78 closings per month.
  2. Conventional 20% down Buyers and All Cash Buyers in February controlled 74.5% of the purchases
  3. Inventory has increased 15% over the last couple months.
  4. The most active segment of the market continues to be in the under $500,000 purchase range.
  5. List to sell ratios in the entry level homes was almost 100% until recently. Now these home are selling approximately 97% of the original list price.
  6. Average Sales Price showed signs of stability last year and had a slight increase over the last 12 months.
  7. Historically low interest rates help affordability and stabilize pricing.
  8. Federal Tax incentives.

Looking at the closings for February and any likely trends, we see that in 2006 there were 112 closings, 2007 there were 75 closings, 2008 there were 53, 2009 there were 60 and this year (2010) 59.   Anticipating that a few sales will report late, even if that number moves up 5 closings, we can see nothing really significant is going on with the Simi Valley Housing market to signal a full recovery.

As encouraging as the average pricing has been,  I think that there are too many other factors that could influence the market at this time.  I doubt that any huge drop in pricing is eminent as last year saw some incredible buys that cannot be duplicated at this time.  For example, I sold a house on Hope street in east Simi Valley last year.  The sale price at $252,000 for 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths would be bid up today near $300,000 if available.

I can only reiterate – if you are looking to buy a house to live in, possibly raise a family, then a long term buy and hold is the mindset for this market,  If you are looking for a short term turn around, then an open market purchase will probably not work with your goals and you will need to evaluate where to participate for properties that can be purchased under market value. Typically these target properties for turn-around will not be “creme puffs”.  Homes that have upgrades, have minimal maintenance issues and are showcased to sell are not going out a bargain basement prices.

Simi Valley Home Sales Report YTD – January 31, 2010

Simi Valley Home Sales Report YTD – January 31, 2010

Simi Valley Housing ReportSimi Valley home sales for the first month of 2010 trended back to average levels seen through 2009. While December 2009 showed the strongest sales for the year, my hunch was that many Short Sale lenders trying to close their books for the fiscal year increased the sales totals.

The new trend appearing in all this is, fewer and fewer bank owned properties showing up on the open market. In  January a total of 74 single-family detached Simi Valley homes sold. They broke down as follows:

  • 45 properties were non-distressed sales (60%)
  • 17 properties were short sales (23%)
  • 12 properties were bank owned (17%)

These properties were primarily financed with conventional loans (20% down).   25% of the properties were financed with FHA and we even saw a few VA’s.   Cash offers rounded out about 11% of all the sales.

In December we saw a big jump in average sales price which was due to two factors; And the first being a larger volume of total sales and the second factor  was the increase in the number of closings over $800,000.

Another  number to look at is the ratio between the original listing price and the final sales price. In the entry-level price range for single-family homes up to 400,000 homes sold for approximately 4.2% below the original list price. In the mid-level price range for single-family homes between 400,000 and 700,000, homes sold for approximately 3% below the original list price. In the upper level price range for single-family homes over $700,000, homes sold for approximately 7.6% below the original list price. I like to break out these ranges because sometimes an average of all will skew what’s really happening.

The  Simi Valley condominium/ townhouse market showed 19 properties sold for January.  They broke down as follows:

  • 3 properties were non-distressed sales (16%)
  • 13 properties were short sales (68%)
  • 3 properties were bank owned (16%)

Dissecting condominium and town home sales has its own set of challenges. As these are more entry-level properties in the likely buyers with low down payments needing FHA or VA assistance, some of the HOA’s  are not approved for these types of financing vehicles and when there’s fewer financing options, prices are impacted negatively. If you own a town home or condo in Simi Valley, please give me a call and I can check to see if your HOA is  FHA and VA approved.

Significant factors that will impact the short-term real estate market in Simi Valley are the federal tax credit, interest rates, the economy, inventory levels and employment. The deadline to identify a purchase for the federal tax credit expires April 30. This means a home buyer who would like to take advantage of this tax credit must have a property in escrow by April 30 and close that escrow prior to June 30, 2010.

Inflation, interest rates, any increases in on employment will impact buyers negatively, as long as government and the banking system can hold some of this in check, than the current market activity will most likely continue.

The housing market cycle in Simi Valley follows a predictable trend.  Sales volume slow and new listings volume decrease between Halloween and just after the Super Bowl. However, inventory levels have increased somewhat over last year’s averages and sales volumes have picked up a little, these are not reliable figures to predict a whole year. Considering affordability at the recent highs we have been experiencing, significant declines in pricing do not seem likely.

Non-investor buyer’s considering a purchase at this time should still plan on a 10 year hold position the minimum,  while investors  can pick up bargains through purchases at the Trustee sales, Auctions and other Pre open market venues..  Quite a few of the homes scheduled for sale have been regularly postponed, but some deals can still be found.

As a recap summary. Affordability is at the best levels it has been at in 40 years.  The general public still refuses to understand that normal appreciation in housing historically is 4%-6% annually.  Any unrealistic expectations that home appreciation needs to go above the historical norms will continue the prolonged recovery.  The delicate balance of interest rates, tax credits and inventory levels could create another set back if upset, however looking at the activity over the last year and who the buyers are, that set back will probably be minor compared to what we saw in 2007-2008.

December 2009 Report

November 2009 Report

October 2009 Report

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Author – Ted Mackel Simi Valley Real Estate Agent – Keller Williams Realty

Ted Mackel is a top producer at Keller Williams Realty Simi Valley,

specializing in Simi Valley Real Estate

(805) 432-7705