May 22, 2012

June 2010 Home Sales Report for Simi Valley Detached Homes

Looking at the numbers for June 2010, Simi Valley home sales look promising. Once you look past the surface of the reported numbers, some concerns become apparent. The federal tax credit set up to entice first-time home buyers with $8000 and move up buyers with $6500, was conditioned that those buyers needed to have a home under contract by April 30th and close the escrow and no later than June 30, 2010.

These tax deadlines usually are trigger points to stimulate the market. However, if you look at the Simi Valley Home Sales charts that are posted below you can see that the sales volume over the course of the last four years has really not changed much. In fact an increase of only six additional Simi Valley homes sold between June 2009 and June 2010,which  shows that the tax incentive really was no incentive at all for Simi Valley Home Buyers.  My industry and the newspapers rushed to claim victory that the market is now recovering, but the sobering truth is that 2010 will most likely be named the year of the Short Sale.

Number of homes sold in Simi Valley between 2006 and 2010

So what does this mean if you are a potential home seller in Simi Valley or potential home buyer in Simi Valley?

For home sellers, you fit in one of several categories.

  • A change in employment, whether this means a move/relocation, layoff or decrease in salary, this could force you in the position to have to sell your home.
  • A move-up. Things are going okay in your life and you would like to buy a larger home.  If this is the case, even though the sale of your home may not fetch the price you believe you deserve,  the bigger homes you are looking at purchasing have probably suffered similar or larger decreases in value and will help you to move up.
  • A move sideways. You’ve really like to have a pool but don’t want to go to the expense of having one installed in the home you already own. If this is the case, the cost to build your own pool could be much more than finding a similar home that already has a pool in it.
  • Sellers that plan to be in Simi Valley for a long time and don’t have circumstances that really need to prompt a move at this time. Sit tight and enjoy your life, what happens over the course of next couple years will be more important those who have to sell at this time.

For home buyers here are a few concerns to consider.

  • Making offers on short sale properties. The key to successful short sale purchase involves a few factors. First, as a buyer understanding that the value of the property is critically tied to what the sellers Lender’s a appraisal values come in at. Ultimately in a short sale, the seller’s Lender will approve or disapprove the sale of the home, based on how much money they will receive if they agree to take less than what is owed. The seller’s Lender will rely heavily on the current market value of the house supported by several appraisals and (BPOs) broker price opinions. Finding deep discounts on these properties are very, very difficult. Anyone who gives you the Cal Worthington and his dog Spot routine should be avoided. Second, the listing agent handling the short sale may not have the skill set to handle this complex transaction. Properties are listed far below market value, and/or have a listing agent does not equipped to deal with the complexities of the requests by the seller’s Lender, will only tie you up in a long-drawn-out escrow with little chance of success.
  • Making offers on bank owned properties. Most of the banks who’ve taken the time to foreclose and then list their properties on the open market through the multiple listing service are looking to get current market value on these properties. Much like short sale lenders they have had several appraisals and several broker price opinions done on these properties they have a very good understanding as to the surrounding values compared to their property.

The bottom line is that interest rates are very favorable for those looking to purchase. and affordability is at it’s highest levels in 40 years. Appraisal value is tied very strongly to the final sales value of most homes and finally we still have a long way to go until the large volume of distressed properties are cycled through the market and lessen the impact on those home sellers who have equity in their homes.

The next time you see a lot of hype and cheer-leading over the Southern California real estate market, make sure to check in here at HomeBuysBlog.com, scroll down the right-hand column and look for the categories and under market updates you’ll be able to look at the charts and tables to see what the average sales volume and average sales prices for Simi Valley.

Simi Valley Homes Sold Average Sales Price

 Simi Valley homes sold report for June 2010

Search for Homes in Simi Valley California Simi Valley Property Values

Thanks for reading Simi Valley’s Premiere Real Estate Blog!

Author – Ted Mackel Simi Valley Real Estate Agent – Keller Williams Realty

Ted Mackel is a top producer at Keller Williams Realty Simi Valley,

specializing in Simi Valley Real Estate

(805) 432-7705

Understanding Home Valuations – Broker Price Opinions (BPOs)

Understanding Home Valuations – Broker Price Opinions (BPOs)

This Video segment covers the “BPO” AKA Broker Price opinion.

  • What is a BPO?
  • How is it conducted?
  • Who orders a BPO?
  • How many BPOs are ordered?

These are some of the topics covered.  In the segment that will follow this, I will explain how these values are used with Short Sales and Bank Owned homes.  I will show you how to figure if a Short Sale even has any chance of being accepted, based off the listing price.

Recently the Appraisal industry has tried to block the real estate industry from conducting BPOs claiming this is outside the scope of licensed Real Estate activity.  Frankly, I believe this to be a very short sighted view and that both groups need each other.  Appraisers are not actively engaged in the day to day activity of selling and marketing properties and Real Estate agents are not trained to evaluate homes on the same level as an appraiser,  but the voids of the two professions cross over and require cooperation on the part of both groups to get home values right.

For more information you can read on this blog:

Simi Valley Short Sale Information

Thanks for reading Simi Valley’s Premiere Real Estate Blog!
Author – Ted Mackel Simi Valley Real Estate Agent – Keller Williams RealtyTed Mackel is a top producer at Keller Williams Realty Simi Valley,specializing in Simi Valley Real Estate(805) 432-7705

Simi Valley Home Buyers 3 Important Concerns with Short Sale Offers

Estimated Costs to Sell Your Simi Valley HomeAs a Simi Valley Home Buyer in this market you will be confronted by many homes for sale that are Short Sales.  Before submitting an offer buyers should be concerned and careful about the process they are about to enter.  The current market conditions for buyers has been difficult for many. Inventory levels have been extremely low and Buyers have not had much freedom of choice.

Short sales are not only stressful for buyers, but they are equally stressful for sellers. The problems of a short sale can be divided into a couple different classes.

  • Experience of the listing agent
  • The number, type and complexity of the lien’s against the property
  • The tolerance level of the buyer

The experience of the listing agent is critical to the success of the short sale. In a short sale, a loss mitigation department is assigned to the particular property in question. The individual assigned has many properties to oversee. Knowing the work load these loss mitigators carry, a good listing agent will either have a short sale negotiator working on the file, or will have the time to dedicate an aggressive campaign of keeping their client’s file at the top of the lost mitigator’s stack.

An experienced short sale listing agent will properly price the property so as to not create delays with the loss mitigator. What is important is, that the bank has already hired out for several Broker Price Opinions (BPOs) and possibly an appraisal. THE BANK KNOWS THE MARKET VALUE. Underpricing these properties is a serious mistake on the part of the listing agent, both for the buyer and the seller as the bank will have no motivation to undersell the property when they have the option and power to foreclose.

How well did the listing agent pre-qualify the property before taking on the listing? A short sale may be doomed before it is ever offered for sale. The more loans and liens the property has against it, the more difficult it will be to obtain an approval to sell the property short. Most properties have a first deed of trust and many others will have a second deed of trust. The holder of the first deed can pretty much call the shots, because if they foreclose the junior lien holders will receive nothing. If the property has additional liens, such as judgments, taxes, etc.; then these junior parties  will most likely have to agree to take less than what is owed. In the case of Taxes, those will have to be paid and that will reduce what the other lien holder may expect.  In the case of a judgment, remember those judgements in California can be renewed and follow a person around a long time, so the judgement holder may not be willing to take a reduced amount.

Here is an example, the property has a first deed of trust  for $400,000, a second deed of trust for $100,000, a judgment from a lawsuit in the amount of $25,000. The home is  currently worth $400,000 with supporting appraisals and BPOs. The holder of the first deed knows that there will be costs involved to sell the home and some sort of settlement for the holder of the second and the holder of the judgment. However if the first forecloses, the second and the holder of the judgment will get nothing. What if the holder of the second or the holder of the judgment demand more than what the first will willing to give? In most cases the holder of the second will probably be looking at getting no more than $10,000 and the judgment holder a couple thousand dollars. While these types of complex short sales can close after lengthy negotiations, it is important to understand as a buyer what you are getting into. It is important as a buyer to know if the listing agent has either the personal skills to pull this off or people working with them, such as a negotiator to pull this off. It is also important to know going in that three liens against the property are going to be more difficult to get approval on than in the case there is only one lien.

The buyer’s tolerance level is going to be tied to the expectations created by the agent that is representing them. Being told that short sales are long and lengthy process is not enough.   Buyers should be educated on the process. Before the buyer writes an offer on a short sale, the buyer’s agent should get the background details on the property so the buyer knows what they could possibly be getting themselves into. Granted the buyer’s agent’s ability to get all the details will be limited,  as the buyers agent cannot do a proper public records search without the seller’s Social Security number and driver’s license. However, the majority of the information should be available from the listing agent and  from the information that real estate agents can obtain from title insurance companies. If the listing agent does not have detailed information on the number of liens against the property, then proceed with caution or maybe pass on the property until you can be satisfied with how big a task will be to negotiate a short sale.

I can only stress enough, with a short sale, is to go in with both eyes wide open.  Be prepared for a long process and know when to walk away.  you don’t have to stay away from a Short Sale if you know the things to look for and a Short Sale may be a better value than a foreclosure.

For more information on Simi Valley Short Sales:

Thanks for reading Simi Valley’s Premiere Real Estate Blog!

Author – Ted Mackel Simi Valley Real Estate Agent – Keller Williams Realty

Ted Mackel is a top producer at Keller Williams Realty Simi Valley,

specializing in Simi Valley Real Estate

(805) 432-7705